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Author Topic: Odds of Getting Shot  (Read 2751 times)

Online kathyp

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Odds of Getting Shot
« on: February 27, 2007, 07:14:10 PM »
i can't vouch for the stats in this, but the conclusion was cute...and not a bad idea.....  i heard a similar one about Philadelphia. 

INTERESTING STATISTIC
>
>
>    Regardless of where you stand on the issue of the U.S.
>involvement in Iraq, here's a sobering statistic:
>
>    There has been a monthly average of 160,000 troops in the Iraq
>theatre of operations during the last 22 months, and a total of 2,112
>deaths. That gives a firearm death rate of 60 per 100,000 soldiers.
>
>    The firearm death rate in Washington D.C. is 80.6 per 100,000
>persons for the same period.
>
>
>
>    That means that you are about 25% more likely to be shot and
>killed in the U.S. Capital than you are in Iraq.
>
>
>
>    Conclusion:  The U.S. should pull out of Washington
>
.....The greatest changes occur in their country without their cooperation. They are not even aware of precisely what has taken place. They suspect it; they have heard of the event by chance. More than that, they are unconcerned with the fortunes of their village, the safety of their streets, the fate of their church and its vestry. They think that such things have nothing to do with them, that they belong to a powerful stranger called “the government.” They enjoy these goods as tenants, without a sense of ownership, and never give a thought to how they might be improved.....

 Alexis de Tocqueville

Offline Understudy

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Re: Odds of Getting Shot
« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2007, 08:13:19 PM »
You know I am shocked to find out that those statistics may be wrong.
http://thinkprogress.org/2006/05/31/dc-safer-iraq/

Sincerely,
Brendhan
The status is not quo. The world is a mess and I just need to rule it. Dr. Horrible

Online kathyp

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Re: Odds of Getting Shot
« Reply #2 on: February 27, 2007, 08:41:44 PM »
can't argue the numbers without doing my own research, but your article is about deaths in iraq. my email is about troop deaths.  little different.

my math skills suck.  how about the Philadelphia murder rate?   http://www.nbc10.com/news/6161126/detail.html.

seems like good odds of getting killed there to for the population number.  http://philadelphia.areaconnect.com/statistics.htm

you can do the math for me  :-)
.....The greatest changes occur in their country without their cooperation. They are not even aware of precisely what has taken place. They suspect it; they have heard of the event by chance. More than that, they are unconcerned with the fortunes of their village, the safety of their streets, the fate of their church and its vestry. They think that such things have nothing to do with them, that they belong to a powerful stranger called “the government.” They enjoy these goods as tenants, without a sense of ownership, and never give a thought to how they might be improved.....

 Alexis de Tocqueville

Offline Understudy

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Re: Odds of Getting Shot
« Reply #3 on: February 27, 2007, 10:55:32 PM »
There were about 152,000 US troops in Iraq as of early October 2005. As of mid-November 2006, there were approximately 152,000 US troops deployed to Iraq.
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/iraq_orbat.htm

Pentagon officials say the new plan is aimed at adding manpower to improve security in the short term -- when troop numbers will increase from the current 130,000 to as many as 180,000
http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2003/11/06/number_of_troops_in_iraq_to_expand/

Between those two articles the average number is 141,000.
Current number of deaths in Iraq since war began (03/19/03) 3160
Percentage of Casulities .023 % (rounded up)
Casulities per 100,000  2300

Population in DC since 2003 is 554,126 (averaged number)
Current number of murders since 2003   811
Percentage of Casulities      .0015% (rounded up)
Percentage per 100,000 150

The simple fact is as bad as the crime rate is in dc it isn't and has never been 80.6 per 100,000.

Sincerely,
Brendhan


The status is not quo. The world is a mess and I just need to rule it. Dr. Horrible

Offline Jerrymac

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Re: Odds of Getting Shot
« Reply #4 on: February 27, 2007, 11:08:40 PM »
I find it disturbing, appalling, disgusting, sickening, that this is in the humor section  :-x  :-\  :-X  :(



Just messin with ya  :-D
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Offline Understudy

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Re: Odds of Getting Shot
« Reply #5 on: February 27, 2007, 11:11:20 PM »
Jerrymac:

I had to scroll down for that punchline. That was great.

Sincerely,
Brendhan
The status is not quo. The world is a mess and I just need to rule it. Dr. Horrible

Online kathyp

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Re: Odds of Getting Shot
« Reply #6 on: February 27, 2007, 11:12:58 PM »
we need some kind of punishment emoticon on here :-\
.....The greatest changes occur in their country without their cooperation. They are not even aware of precisely what has taken place. They suspect it; they have heard of the event by chance. More than that, they are unconcerned with the fortunes of their village, the safety of their streets, the fate of their church and its vestry. They think that such things have nothing to do with them, that they belong to a powerful stranger called “the government.” They enjoy these goods as tenants, without a sense of ownership, and never give a thought to how they might be improved.....

 Alexis de Tocqueville

Offline Robo

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Re: Odds of Getting Shot
« Reply #7 on: February 28, 2007, 11:05:15 AM »
we need some kind of punishment emoticon on here :-\

Here ya go, 2 choices for you.

 :jail:

or

 :fishhit:
"Opportunity is missed by most people because it comes dressed in overalls and looks like work." - Thomas Edison



Online kathyp

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Re: Odds of Getting Shot
« Reply #8 on: March 01, 2007, 12:46:09 PM »
robo, those are great!  i see we have them now!  :-)   :fishhit:
.....The greatest changes occur in their country without their cooperation. They are not even aware of precisely what has taken place. They suspect it; they have heard of the event by chance. More than that, they are unconcerned with the fortunes of their village, the safety of their streets, the fate of their church and its vestry. They think that such things have nothing to do with them, that they belong to a powerful stranger called “the government.” They enjoy these goods as tenants, without a sense of ownership, and never give a thought to how they might be improved.....

 Alexis de Tocqueville

Offline buzzbeejr

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Re: Odds of Getting Shot
« Reply #9 on: March 01, 2007, 06:24:03 PM »
I might actually do the fish one to my friend  :fishhit:. but then i might get sent here  :jail:
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